Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.477570 0.558342 0.648960 0.758240 0.886571 1.032647 1.211760
2024-12-22 0.350131 0.454991 0.585941 0.761872 0.992706 1.286170 1.689061
2024-12-29 0.287326 0.401380 0.554672 0.776562 1.090977 1.522722 2.164387
2025-01-05 0.236503 0.350160 0.512226 0.761407 1.137251 1.686807 2.558404
2025-01-12 0.201264 0.313262 0.481315 0.753537 1.186996 1.856405 2.980123
2025-01-19 0.176876 0.287864 0.462160 0.758016 1.252627 2.055064 3.473128
2025-01-26 0.164217 0.278501 0.465689 0.797516 1.377966 2.363932 4.192123
2025-02-02 0.152828 0.269217 0.467408 0.833136 1.500349 2.683159 4.976947
2025-02-09 0.141118 0.257493 0.462937 0.856481 1.603127 2.980663 5.766754
2025-02-16 0.128911 0.243056 0.451449 0.864825 1.678408 3.236727 6.515605
2025-02-23 0.116693 0.226873 0.434464 0.859978 1.726868 3.446982 7.204184
2025-03-02 0.104272 0.208635 0.411156 0.839269 1.740264 3.588593 7.771110
2025-03-09 0.098684 0.203454 0.413121 0.870845 1.867498 3.984737 8.957172
2025-03-16 0.090836 0.192675 0.402534 0.874953 1.937564 4.271610 9.952085
2025-03-23 0.085065 0.185464 0.398301 0.891897 2.037732 4.637751 11.189372
2025-03-30 0.077064 0.172370 0.379808 0.874418 2.056949 4.823095 12.024260
2025-04-06 0.070631 0.161946 0.365852 0.865342 2.094315 5.055680 13.014733
2025-04-13 0.065897 0.154808 0.358394 0.870508 2.166656 5.382617 14.302459
2025-04-20 0.064240 0.154678 0.367106 0.916064 2.346009 6.001358 16.471411
2025-04-27 0.062336 0.153707 0.373676 0.957155 2.520009 6.632538 18.786827
2025-05-04 0.059707 0.150613 0.374679 0.984088 2.660706 7.197226 21.015371
2025-05-11 0.056350 0.145260 0.369388 0.993717 2.755960 7.653140 23.008340
2025-05-18 0.052527 0.138234 0.358981 0.988123 2.808089 7.996870 24.725906